Monday, February 10, 2014

My Facebook post for Feb. 3


Among My Favorite Videos—
See:


Our Way of Finding Stocks Worthy of More Study
Balliett Financial Services, Inc., managed investment portfolios for clients in multiple states. We started with just 15 or so client accounts totaling about $8,000,000.

For risk-averse clients, our goal was to avoid a calendar-year loss on any security greater than single digit.

For other clients, our goal was double-digit annual total returns, and we succeeded more often than not, year over year. When we reached $40,000,000 under management, new business started coming to us in a rush.

By us and we, I mean our son Phil and I. He’d been tops in his data-processing classes at Boise State and was recruited by Dun and Bradstreet. Both places, he created systems and wrote software for mainframe computers, had good knowledge of both hardware and software. We brought him into the family firm when he became an avid student of both fundamental and technical securities analysis.

Under Phil’s leadership, we settled on one of the several stock-selection strategies we liked—stocks on the move in industries on the move. He wrote software that identified and compared stocks with price momentum. See:

After a time, we used VectorVest analysis to identify which of the momentum stocks Phil had identified that were most worthy of acquisition.

That’s the two-step approach that propelled us to $200,000,000 under management. Thank you, Phil!

Our worst year, 2008, was the worst year, too, for the S&P 500 in more than 50 years: down that horrifying year by -37.00% while we were down by -21%.

Obviously, beating the market in 2008 gave us no pleasure—and our clients less than none. Down is down. Many left us like an audience escaping a theater on fire. We closed our 40-year business at the end of 2013. See the S&P 500 performance:


My Facebook post for Feb. 1




Among My Favorite Videos—
Jimmy Durante & Eddie Jackson 1055
See:

ETF

Super Bowl Alert: Look for Dave Bruton

He’s the athlete from Miamisbug (my home town, near Dayton) and the first Miamisburg Viking to make it to the NFL.  He’s the strong safety for the Denver Broncos.

When I was a Viking, not one family of color lived in Miamisburg. Martin Luther King would be proud of Dave and his parents—and perhaps Miamisburg, too.

Also, Dave may even be the first pro football player to teach a second-grade class. See:

For analysis of Bruton’s skills, see:


 “The Only 4 Dividend Stocks You’ll Ever Need”

In alphabetical order by ticker, they are:
• DBD (Diebold)
• EMR (Emerson Electric)
• MMM (3M)
• MO (Altria Group)
Why those four? See:

Also, look there for “3 Super-Duper Dividend ETFs.” They are:
• KBWD (PowerShares KBW High Dividend Yield Financial ETF)
• SDIV  (Global X SuperDividend ETF)
•YYY (YieldShares High Income ETF)
Why those three? See:

Sunday, February 9, 2014

Educated Guesses: U.S. Economy in 2014


Finally, the problem has been dealt with and I am able to add blogposts again.

Ever since the problem prevented adding my posts go Google, I've been posting them on my Facebook account: Gene Balliett.

Here's my post at Facebook for Dec. 31, 2013:







Wednesday, September 11, 2013

60 Minutes on the Robot Job Threat


If you are not yet convinced automation is a big factor in the creation of America’s jobless future (and the planet’s), you probably missed the 60 Minutes report on robots’ impact on jobs (Sept. 8, 2013). No matter. You can see it here:

I mention the program because it presents the case that man’s ever-quickening march into a world of automated solutions is creating an economic problem that is fast becoming an economic disaster. As many more people give up their jobs to machines that work better, faster, and cheaper, they will need new sources of income.

For your family and mine, the most-practical solution is to develop investment skill. We can’t count on an early rescue by the development of an entirely new economic system. (Eventually, yes we can.)

Meanwhile, the poor will continue to get poorer and the rich will continue to get richer because investors will be the beneficiaries of our increasingly jobless economy. Automated machines will continue to make corporations ever more profitable, and shareholders will continue to own the corporations and collect their stock dividends. 

Yes, there’s some good news. The internet now provides the resources needed by those who are willing and able to learn to be skilled, successful investors.

Here’s your first lesson: To enter the investment world, you’ll need to redirect money saved. Savings are victims of inflation by giving up about half their purchasing power every 15-20 years. To overcome inflation, the cash you and your family accumulate must be invested and each of us must know how to get the job done.

Many more lessons are in this blog—for free. They can direct you, your family, and your friends to where you need to be by telling you what you need to know and what you need to do. (This is my 263rd blog post.)

I did write an e-book not long ago, and it includes consideration of the questions our alert politicians and innovative thinkers need to wrestle with. You can find it in the big online bookstores.

If you wish, visit Amazon for a review of the book:

http://www.amazon.com/My-America-1931-2031-Astonishing-ebook/product-reviews/B00BPD0TUM/ref=dp_top_cm_cr_acr_txt?ie=UTF8&showViewpoints=1


My ETF of the Day: RYT


Guggenheim S&P 500 Eq Weight Technology (RYT) is one of the three exchange-traded funds mentioned in my posts of two days ago, Sept. 9. It is profiled at:

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/pr?s=RYT+Profile


My 5-year Yahoo chart for RYT shows a remarkable up trend since the 2008-2009 market collapse:

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ta?s=RYT&t=1y&l=on&z=l&q=l&p=m50,m100,m200&a=m26-12-9,r14&c=


My 3-month chart suggests RYT may now be a buying opportunity:

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ta?s=RYT&t=3m&l=on&z=l&q=l&p=m20%2Cm50%2Cm100%2Cp&a=m26-12-9%2Cr14&c=


I hope you will send this post to your investor-friends and relatives, with a suggestion they visit my website for lots more research I share for free with do-it-yourself portfolio managers:

I have neither goods nor services to sell to them or to you. I’m retired. Phil Balliett and I used to manage investments totaling $200,000,000 for our clients. Now, I continue to research stocks, funds, and the economy for my own portfolios, and for fun I write my blog for relatives, friends, and DIY portfolio managers I have never met.

I hope you will send this post to your investor-friends and relatives, with a suggestion they visit my blog for lots more research I share for free with do-it-yourself portfolio managers:


Tuesday, September 10, 2013

Zacks’ Case for Momentum Investing


Writing for Zacks last week, Steven Reitmeister opened with reasons why the stock-selection strategy buy low, sell high is sometimes a bad idea—largely because a scary reason accounts for the low price:

In our 29-year career as portfolio managers, Phil Balliett and I did well in our buy low, sell high selections because fundamental analysis identified the better, safer selections for us. But we scored even better with our alternate strategy, stocks on the move in industries on the move. He created the software that identified such stocks for us.

Steve is the guiding light behind Zacks. He seems to be making it better and better as time marches on.

Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers for Sept. 10, 2013, are FBHS, FENG, GMCR,  HY, NUS. See:

If you wish, visit Amazon for a review of my 14th book:

My ETF of the Day: FXD


First Trust Consumer Disc AlphaDEX (FXD) is profiled at:


My 5-year Yahoo chart for FXD shows a robust recovery from the 2008-2009 market collapse:

My 3-month chart suggests FXD is into a buying opportunity right now:

I hope you will send this post to your investor-friends and relatives, with a suggestion they visit my website for lots more research I share for free with do-it-yourself portfolio managers:

I have neither goods nor services to sell to them or to you. I’m retired. Phil and I used to manage investments totaling $200,000,000 for our clients. Now, I continue to research stocks, funds, and the economy for my own portfolios, and for fun I write my blog for relatives, friends, and DIY portfolio managers I have never met.

I hope you will send this post to your investor-friends and relatives, with a suggestion they visit my blog for lots more research I share for free with do-it-yourself portfolio managers:

I have neither goods nor services to sell to them or to you. I’m retired. Phil and I used to manage investments totaling $200,000,000 for our clients. Now, I continue to research stocks, funds, and the economy for my own portfolios, and for fun I write my blog for relatives, friends, and DIY portfolio managers I have never met.